Predictability of Chinese Summer Extreme Rainfall Based on Arctic Sea Ice and Tropical Sea Surface Temperature     

ZHU Zhihui  HUANG Fei  XIE Xiao 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2019,(3)

Chinese summer extreme rainfall often brings huge economic losses, so the prediction of summer extreme rainfall is necessary. This study focuses on the predictability of the leading mode of Chinese summer extreme rainfall from empirical orthogonal function(EOF) analysis. The predictors used in this study are Arctic sea ice concentration(ASIC) and regional sea surface temperature(SST) in selected optimal time periods. The most important role that Arctic sea ice(ASI) plays in the appearance of EOF1 may be strengthening the high pressure over North China, thereby preventing water vapor from going north. The contribution of SST is mainly at low latitudes and characterized by a significant cyclone anomaly over South China. The forecast models using predictor ASIC(PA), SST(PS), and the two together(PAS) are established by using data from 1980 to 2004. An independent forecast is made for the last 11 years(2005-2015). The correlation coefficient(COR) skills between the observed and cross-validation reforecast principal components(PC) of the PA, PS, and PAS models are 0.47, 0.66, and 0.76, respectively. These values indicate that SST is a major cause of Chinese summer extreme rainfall during 1980-2004. The COR skill of the PA model during the independent forecast period of 2004-2015 is 0.7, which is significantly higher than those of the PS and PAS models. Thus, the main factor influencing Chinese summer extreme rainfall in recent years has changed from low latitudes to high latitudes. The impact of ASI on Chinese summer extreme rainfall is becoming increasingly significant.  相似文献   

北部湾地区海砂填料的动力特性分析     

王家全  陈胜前  唐毅  黄世斌  黄钦政 《海洋工程》2020,38(5):149-155

为研究北部湾地区海砂填料的动力特性，采用高级动态三轴测试系统开展循环荷载下的动三轴试验，研究不同围压及不同动应力幅值对海砂动力特性的影响规律。试验结果表明：轴向累计应变随围压增加而减小，围压150 kPa时振次10 000后应变仅为3%；随着动应力幅值的增大轴向累积应变随之增大，且达到破坏标准的时间越短。动弹性模量随着动应力幅值和围压的增加而增大，不同围压下动弹性模量随动应变的增加出现先骤减再略减后稳定的发展趋势，ε_d>0.3%后开始趋于稳定；不同动应力幅值下动弹性模量出现先增后减直至稳定的趋势，其中动应力幅值对动弹性模量有明显的影响，围压影响相对较小。孔压比随动应力幅值增加而减小，随围压增加而增加。  相似文献   

Maastrichtian Charophyte Flora from the Jiankou Section of the Jiaolai Basin     

LI Sh  FANG Yanan  WANG He  WANG Qifei  ZHANG Haichun 《《地质学报》英文版》2020,94(2):556-557

The latest Cretaceous strata of the Jiaolai Basin were studied in two scientific cores,including LK-1 drilled by the Institute of Geology,Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences(Li et al.,2018;Li et al.,2020),and JK-1 drilled by the Shandong Institute of the Geological Survey and Institute of Geology,Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences(Xu et al.,2017).However,outcrop sections were poorly studied,and the latest Cretaceous charophyte flora in particular had not previously been adequately documented from outcrops in the Jiaolai area.  相似文献   

塔里木盆地超深层碳酸盐岩规模储层分类对比及特征分析     

高利君  李宗杰  李海英  黄诚 《地质论评》2020,66(S1):54-56

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水平低周往复位移下单桩-土相互作用试验研究     

黄福云  陈汉伦  董锐  单玉麟 《岩土力学》2020,41(5):1625-1634

整体式桥台无伸缩缝桥梁（以下简称整体桥）桩基应设计为柔性桩，以保证较好的抗水平变形能力。但是，我国相关规范中判别柔性桩的算法主要应用于单向水平受荷桩，可否沿用至整体桥桩基还有待验证。为此，根据一种特殊设计的桩身变形测量方法，对3根埋深不同的混凝土模型桩进行了低周水平往复位移下的拟静力试验，研究单桩-土体系的抗震性能和相互作用机制。研究表明，水平往复位移下混凝土桩在埋深为3D～6D（D为桩径）范围内开裂；桩的埋深越大，桩身挠曲程度越大、变形特征点位置也越深、桩-土体系的抗弯刚度也越大、水平极限承载力也越高、抗震性能也越强。研究还表明，桩-土体系进入弹塑性阶段后，柔性桩的水平工作性状将逐渐向刚性桩退化。另外，在判别整体桥桩基的水平工作性状时，我国相关规范中的规定偏不安全。实际工程中，建议以Broms方法进行参考计算。  相似文献   

岩体结构面各向异性变异系数的尺寸效应研究     

洪陈杰  黄曼  夏才初  罗战友  杜时贵 《岩土力学》2020,41(6):2098-2109

岩体结构面的各向异性与尺寸效应特征对其力学性质影响较大，综合考虑两者之间的相互关系对工程岩体稳定性评价具有重要意义。全面分析不同尺度结构面的各向异性分布，提出考虑正交方向三维形貌参数的各向异性变异系数AVC3D。通过渐进覆盖法统计4组天然岩体结构面10种不同采样尺寸的各向异性变异系数及其尺寸效应规律。结果表明：各向异性变异系数均随结构面尺寸增大而减小至定值，其与结构面尺寸具有较好的负对数函数关系；通过归一化处理，各向异性变异系数与结构面尺寸呈现较好的线性函数关系，表明各向异性变异系数具有分形结构，分维数D可以实现其尺寸效应的规律统计。该方法揭示了影响结构面形貌特征方向性变化的最大有效倾角 和粗糙系数C的增长幅度会随采样尺寸增大趋于稳定的变化机制，体现了当结构面达到各向异性尺寸效应的阈值后，会呈现出稳定的各向异性规律。  相似文献   

湘黔渝毗邻区南华纪岩相古地理及沉积盆地演化     

邹光均  黄建中  凌跃新  谭仕敏  曹创华  黄革非  文春华 《地球学报》2020,41(2):207-218

湘黔渝毗邻区大地构造位置位于扬子陆块东南缘,发育有完整的南华纪沉积记录,同时也是我国南华纪“大塘坡式”沉积型锰矿的重要富集区。通过对区内南华系剖面的详细调查与研究,结合室内综合分析,应用“优势相”成图方法编制了南华纪早世、中世、晚世岩相古地理图件。研究表明:受Rodinia超大陆全球性裂解作用影响,南华纪时期扬子陆块东南缘发生广泛的裂解作用,形成武陵次级裂谷盆地和雪峰次级裂谷盆地,构成“堑-垒”式古地理格局,南华系是在这一背景下形成的“楔状”沉积体;划分出大陆相组、过渡相组和海相组三大沉积相组,识别出河流相、湖泊相、三角洲相、海岸相以及浅海陆棚相等沉积相及若干沉积亚相等。系列图件的编制恢复了南华纪时期的沉积盆地演化与古地理变迁,建立了沉积盆地演化模式,为区域上沉积型锰矿的预测与寻找提供了一定的沉积学依据。  相似文献   

Early Jurassic palaeoenvironments in the Surat Basin,Australia – marine incursion into eastern Gondwana     

Andrew D. La Croix  Jianhua He  Valeria Bianchi  Jiahao Wang  Sebastian Gonzalez  Jim R. Undershultz 《Sedimentology》2020,67(1):457-485

Interpretations of palaeodepositional environments are important for reconstructing Earth history. Only a few maps showing the Jurassic depositional environments in eastern Australia currently exist. Consequently, a detailed understanding of the setting of Australia in Gondwana is lacking. Core, wireline logs, two-dimensional and three-dimensional seismic from the Precipice Sandstone and Evergreen Formation in the Surat Basin have been used to construct maps showing the evolution of depositional environments through the Early Jurassic. The results indicate the succession consists of three third-order sequences (Sequence 1 to Sequence 3) that were controlled by eustatic sea level. The lowstand systems tract in Sequence 1 comprises braidplain deposits, confined to a fairway that parallels the basin centre. The strata were initially deposited in two sub-basins, with rivers flowing in different orientations in each sub-basin. The transgressive systems tract of Sequence 1 to lowstand systems tract of Sequence 3 is dominated by fluvio–deltaic systems infilling a single merged basin centre. Finally, the transgressive and highstand systems tracts of Sequence 3 show nearshore environments depositing sediment into a shallow marine basin. In the youngest part of this interval, ironstone shoals are the most conspicuous facies, the thickness and number of which increase towards the north and east. This study interprets a corridor to the open ocean through the Clarence–Moreton Basin, or the Carpentaria and Papuan basins, evidence of which has been eroded. These results challenge a commonly held view that eastern Australia was not influenced by eustasy, and propose a more dynamic palaeogeographic setting comprising a mixture of fluvial, deltaic and shallow marine sedimentary environments. This work can be used to unravel the stratigraphic relationships between Mesozoic eastern Australian basins, or in other basins globally as an analogue for understanding the complex interplay of paralic depositional systems in data poor areas.  相似文献   

末次冰消期（1.9万年）以来冲绳海槽中部黏土矿物来源及其环境响应          下载免费PDF全文

田旭  胡邦琦  王飞飞  黄威  丁雪  宋维宇  徐方建 《中国地质》2020,47(5):1501-1511

基于采自冲绳海槽中部的CS2站柱状沉积物黏土矿物和AMS¹⁴C年代分析，探讨了末次冰消期以来冲绳海槽中部黏土矿物的物质来源及其环境指示意义。结果显示，CS2站黏土矿物以伊利石为主，其次为绿泥石，高岭石和蒙脱石含量较少。根据黏土矿物分布趋势变化，CS2站柱状沉积物可划分为3个阶段：阶段（I 19~12 ka BP）和阶段Ⅱ （12~8 ka BP）期间沉积物主要来源于长江，台湾和黄河物质也有一定影响，其物质来源主要受海平面升降的控制；阶段Ⅲ（8~0 ka BP）主要来源于长江和台湾，黄河贡献有限，主要受黑潮演化的影响。CS2站（蒙脱石+高岭石） （/伊利石+绿泥石）比值可以作为东亚季风演化的矿物学指标，指标变化显示出东亚冬季风强度相对夏季风的强度在16.4~14.8 ka BP和12.8~11.6 ka BP期间有两次显著的加强，指示当时气候相对寒冷干燥，结果可以与格陵兰冰心δ¹⁸O和三宝洞δ¹⁸O记录等很好对比。  相似文献   

滇西陇川断陷盆地地热水化学特征及循环过程     

黄琴辉  张华  康晓波  王波  刘海峰  柴金龙  黄钊  王燕 《中国岩溶》2020,39(6):793-801

通过对陇川盆地开展地热地质调查，查清其地热资源分布:盆地内共出露地热点11处，热储结构类型为带状型和层状型，盆地中部为层状型，两侧盆地边缘为带状型，其中北西部受断裂控制明显，南东部受节理裂隙控制明显。其储热层为变质岩及新近系芒棒组的花岗质砂砾岩、细砂岩；地热水受大气降水影响明显，循环深度都在1 600 m以上，大部分在1 800~2 400 m之间，主要来源于深部热源，通过断裂、裂隙及砂砾石孔隙作为导水、储水上涌通道，接收来自山区补给的地下水混合出露于地表，补给距离在1.5 km以上，如南宛河温泉温度最高，地下水循环深度最深，补给距离最远，达10 km；盆地北东和西部水温高，循环深度深。   相似文献